School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff, CF10 3YE, UK
Received: 29 Apr 2009 – Discussion started: 13 Jul 2009
Abstract. Comparison of the sea-level today with that of 400 000 years ago (MIS 11), when the Earth's orbital characteristics were similar may provide, under conditions of natural variability, indications of future sea-level during the present interglacial. Then, as now, orbital eccentricity was low and precession dampened. Evidence for MIS 11 sea-level occurs on uplifting coastlines where shorelines with geochronological ages have been preserved. The sea-level term and the uplift term may be separated with an "uplift correction" formula. This discovers the original sea-level at which the now uplifted shoreline was fashioned. Estimates are based on average uplift rates of the "last interglacial" sea-level (MIS 5.5) using a range of estimates for sea-level and age at that time at different locations. These, with varying secular tectonic regimes in different ocean basins, provide a band of estimates for the MIS 11 sea-level. They do not support the hypothesis of an MIS 11 sea-level at ~20 m, and instead show that it was closer to its present level.
Revised: 30 Nov 2009 – Accepted: 09 Dec 2009 – Published: 19 Jan 2010
Please read the corrigendum first before accessing the article.
Bowen, D. Q.: Sea level ~400 000 years ago (MIS 11): analogue for present and future sea-level?, Clim. Past, 6, 19-29, doi:10.5194/cp-6-19-2010, 2010.