Climate of the Past
Climate of the Past
CP
Articles | Volume 11, issue 3
Articles | Volume 11, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-533-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-533-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 11, issue 3
Technical note
 | 
24 Mar 2015
Technical note |  | 24 Mar 2015

Technical Note: Probabilistically constraining proxy age–depth models within a Bayesian hierarchical reconstruction model

J. P. Werner and M. P. Tingley

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Cited articles

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Anchukaitis, K. J. and Tierney, J. E.: Identifying coherent spatiotemporal modes in time-uncertain proxy paleoclimate records, Clim. Dynam., 41, 1291–1306, 2013.
Banerjee, S., Carlin, B. P., and Gelfand, A. E.: Hierarchical Modeling and Analysis for Spatial Data, Chapman & Hall/CRC, New York, 2004.
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Short summary
We present a Bayesian approach to simultaneously constrain the age models associated with time-uncertain proxies and inferring past climate in space and time. For the sake of exposition, the discussion focuses on annually resolved climate archives, such as varved lakes, corals, and tree rings, with dating by layer counting. Numerical experiments show that updating the probabilities associated with an ensemble of possible age models reduces uncertainty in the inferred climate.
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