Articles | Volume 11, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-709-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-709-2015
Research article
 | 
07 May 2015
Research article |  | 07 May 2015

Non-linear regime shifts in Holocene Asian monsoon variability: potential impacts on cultural change and migratory patterns

J. F. Donges, R. V. Donner, N. Marwan, S. F. M. Breitenbach, K. Rehfeld, and J. Kurths

Related authors

Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review
Nico Wunderling, Anna S. von der Heydt, Yevgeny Aksenov, Stephen Barker, Robbin Bastiaansen, Victor Brovkin, Maura Brunetti, Victor Couplet, Thomas Kleinen, Caroline H. Lear, Johannes Lohmann, Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta, Sacha Sinet, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, Pallavi Anand, Jonathan Barichivich, Sebastian Bathiany, Mara Baudena, John T. Bruun, Cristiano M. Chiessi, Helen K. Coxall, David Docquier, Jonathan F. Donges, Swinda K. J. Falkena, Ann Kristin Klose, David Obura, Juan Rocha, Stefanie Rynders, Norman Julius Steinert, and Matteo Willeit
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 41–74, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-41-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-41-2024, 2024
Short summary
Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations
Sina Loriani, Yevgeny Aksenov, David Armstrong McKay, Govindasamy Bala, Andreas Born, Cristiano M. Chiessi, Henk Dijkstra, Jonathan F. Donges, Sybren Drijfhout, Matthew H. England, Alexey V. Fedorov, Laura Jackson, Kai Kornhuber, Gabriele Messori, Francesco Pausata, Stefanie Rynders, Jean-Baptiste Salée, Bablu Sinha, Steven Sherwood, Didier Swingedouw, and Thejna Tharammal
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2589,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2589, 2023
Short summary
The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority
Jordan Paul Everall, Jonathan F. Donges, and Ilona M. Otto
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2241,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2241, 2023
Short summary
Negative Social Tipping Dynamics Resulting from and Reinforcing Earth System Destabilisation
Viktoria Spaiser, Sirkku Juhola, Sara M. Constantino, Weisi Guo, Tabitha Watson, Jana Sillmann, Alessandro Craparo, Ashleigh Basel, John T. Bruun, Krishna Krishnamurthy, Jürgen Scheffran, Patricia Pinho, Uche T. Okpara, Jonathan F. Donges, Avit Bhowmik, Taha Yasseri, Ricardo Safra de Campos, Graeme S. Cumming, Hugues Chenet, Florian Krampe, and Jesse F. Abrams
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1475,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1475, 2023
Short summary
A global social activation model of enabling conditions for positive social tipping – the role of sea-level rise anticipation and climate change concern
E. Keith Smith, Marc Wiedermann, Jonathan F. Donges, Jobst Heitzig, and Ricarda Winkelmann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1622,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1622, 2023
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Atmospheric Dynamics | Archive: Terrestrial Archives | Timescale: Holocene
Regional pollen-based Holocene temperature and precipitation patterns depart from the Northern Hemisphere mean trends
Ulrike Herzschuh, Thomas Böhmer, Manuel Chevalier, Raphaël Hébert, Anne Dallmeyer, Chenzhi Li, Xianyong Cao, Odile Peyron, Larisa Nazarova, Elena Y. Novenko, Jungjae Park, Natalia A. Rudaya, Frank Schlütz, Lyudmila S. Shumilovskikh, Pavel E. Tarasov, Yongbo Wang, Ruilin Wen, Qinghai Xu, and Zhuo Zheng
Clim. Past, 19, 1481–1506, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-1481-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-1481-2023, 2023
Short summary
Mid-Holocene reinforcement of North Atlantic atmospheric circulation variability from a western Baltic lake sediment record
Markus Czymzik, Rik Tjallingii, Birgit Plessen, Peter Feldens, Martin Theuerkauf, Matthias Moros, Markus J. Schwab, Carla K. M. Nantke, Silvia Pinkerneil, Achim Brauer, and Helge W. Arz
Clim. Past, 19, 233–248, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-233-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-233-2023, 2023
Short summary
Patterns of Centennial-to-Millennial Holocene Climate Variation in the North American Mid-Latitudes
Bryan N. Shuman
Clim. Past Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2022-89,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2022-89, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for CP
Short summary
Holocene sea level and environmental change at the southern Cape – an 8.5 kyr multi-proxy paleoclimate record from Lake Voëlvlei, South Africa
Paul Strobel, Marcel Bliedtner, Andrew S. Carr, Peter Frenzel, Björn Klaes, Gary Salazar, Julian Struck, Sönke Szidat, Roland Zech, and Torsten Haberzettl
Clim. Past, 17, 1567–1586, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-1567-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-1567-2021, 2021
Short summary
Tree-ring-based spring precipitation reconstruction in the Sikhote-Alin' Mountain range
Olga Ukhvatkina, Alexander Omelko, Dmitriy Kislov, Alexander Zhmerenetsky, Tatyana Epifanova, and Jan Altman
Clim. Past, 17, 951–967, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-951-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-951-2021, 2021
Short summary

Cited articles

Alley, R. B. and Ágústsdóttir, A. M.: The 8 k event: cause and consequences of a major Holocene abrupt climate change, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 24, 1123–1149, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2004.12.004, 2005.
Alley, R. B., Mayewski, P. A., Sowers, T., Stuiver, M., Taylor, K. C., and Clark, P. U.: Holocene climatic instability: A prominent, widespread event 8200 yr ago, Geology, 25, 483–486, https://doi.org/10.1130/0091-7613(1997)025<0483:HCIAPW>2.3.CO;2, 1997.
Amigo, \'A., Lara, L. E., and Smith, V. C.: Holocene record of large explosive eruptions from Chaitén and Michinmahuida Volcanoes, Chile, Andean Geol., 40, 227–248, https://doi.org/10.5027/andgeoV40n2-a03, 2013.
An, C.-B., Tang, L., Barton, L., and Chen, F.-H.: Climate change and cultural response around 4000 cal yr BP in the western part of Chinese Loess Plateau, Quaternary Res., 63, 347–352, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.yqres.2005.02.004, 2005.
An, Z., Porter, S. C., Kutzbach, J. E., Xihao, W., Suming, W., Xiaodong, L., Xiaoqiang, L., and Weijian, Z.: Asynchronous Holocene optimum of the East Asian monsoon, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 19, 743–762, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0277-3791(99)00031-1, 2000.
Download
Short summary
Paleoclimate records from cave deposits allow the reconstruction of Holocene dynamics of the Asian monsoon system, an important tipping element in Earth's climate. Employing recently developed techniques of nonlinear time series analysis reveals several robust and continental-scale regime shifts in the complexity of monsoonal variability. These regime shifts might have played an important role as drivers of migration, cultural change, and societal collapse during the past 10,000 years.